Another proponent of cycles in American history is George Friedman who was the CEO and founder of Strategic Forecasting (Stratfor) and now the CEO and founder of Geopolitical Futures (GPF). He has written several books to include "The Next 100 Years" with his latest book being "The Calm Before the Storm" which was released in February 20…
Another proponent of cycles in American history is George Friedman who was the CEO and founder of Strategic Forecasting (Stratfor) and now the CEO and founder of Geopolitical Futures (GPF). He has written several books to include "The Next 100 Years" with his latest book being "The Calm Before the Storm" which was released in February 2020 just before COVID leaped on to the scene. His theme is the decade of 2020 will be tumultuous but ending well for the US. His premise is the US goes through two different cycles that happen in 40 and 60 years periods and this is the first time that both have coincided. He posited that the 2028 election would be a dramatic change election similar to 1932 and 1980. However, he recently changed his forecast and said that the 2024 election will be the change election. He has been eerily accurate in a lot of his forecasts. Good read.
Given what is already known about the candidates, what would be the "change" following the 2024 election? The only candidate offering anything different from the status quo is Trump and in the unlikely event he wins any dramatic agenda he wants to implement would be derailed by the leadership of both parties in Congress.
Good question. His idea was that it will change the dynamic of the Federal government to the states. He thought it would happen in 2028. His other longstanding premise (in everything he writes and says) is that Presidents don't matter that much because he is constrained. The larger trends drive the politics. I think he is correct about that. I would recommend you read the book.
Thanks for the reply. I don't have time to read the book and reading the summary it looks like he has a few things right and a lot wrong. The part on Japan is laughable.
Another proponent of cycles in American history is George Friedman who was the CEO and founder of Strategic Forecasting (Stratfor) and now the CEO and founder of Geopolitical Futures (GPF). He has written several books to include "The Next 100 Years" with his latest book being "The Calm Before the Storm" which was released in February 2020 just before COVID leaped on to the scene. His theme is the decade of 2020 will be tumultuous but ending well for the US. His premise is the US goes through two different cycles that happen in 40 and 60 years periods and this is the first time that both have coincided. He posited that the 2028 election would be a dramatic change election similar to 1932 and 1980. However, he recently changed his forecast and said that the 2024 election will be the change election. He has been eerily accurate in a lot of his forecasts. Good read.
Given what is already known about the candidates, what would be the "change" following the 2024 election? The only candidate offering anything different from the status quo is Trump and in the unlikely event he wins any dramatic agenda he wants to implement would be derailed by the leadership of both parties in Congress.
Good question. His idea was that it will change the dynamic of the Federal government to the states. He thought it would happen in 2028. His other longstanding premise (in everything he writes and says) is that Presidents don't matter that much because he is constrained. The larger trends drive the politics. I think he is correct about that. I would recommend you read the book.
Thanks for the reply. I don't have time to read the book and reading the summary it looks like he has a few things right and a lot wrong. The part on Japan is laughable.